
Family, Fertility and Human Development Initiative
The Family, Fertility, and Human Development Initiative addresses global fertility decline through a multidisciplinary lens. While this phenomenon receives widespread attention, current analyses often remain confined within individual fields. The initiative features speaker series, workshops, and conferences in Chicago and Budapest, bringing together economists, sociologists, and demographers. Family, Fertility and Human Development is a joint initiative between CEHD and the Family, Household and Economy Research Center (FAMECON) at the Corvinus Institute for Advanced Studies (CIAS) at Corvinus University in Budapest.
Our workshops convene leading scholars to analyze fertility decline’s causes and consequences, examining variations across socioeconomic status, religion, and culture. We investigate the sources of marriage and cohabitation patterns, including reduced marriage rates, marital decision paradigms, and delay due to educational, career, and social choices.
Key lifecycle determinants under study include educational attainment and sorting, opportunity costs of childrearing, macroeconomic factors, and tax policies. Given the limitations of traditional economic models, we document their predictive accuracy while exploring how changing gender roles and lifestyle preferences influence family choices. We consider the role of traditional values, future orientation, altruism, and religion.
This evolving initiative welcomes diverse analytical perspectives. Rather than seeking forced consensus, we aim to catalog different viewpoints and create an analytical synthesis based on rigorous data analysis.
Project Leaders
James J. Heckman
The University of Chicago
James J. Heckman has devoted his professional life to understanding the origins of major social and economic problems related to inequality, social mobility, discrimination, skill formation and regulation, and to devising and evaluating alternative strategies for addressing those problems. His work is rooted in economics, but he actively collaborates across disciplines to get to the heart of major problems.
Contact
For any questions about this initiative, please contact Emma Bernstein, Program Manager and Research Coordinator at ebernste@uchicago.edu.
Resources
Upcoming Events
April 1, 2025
Housing Wealth, Marital Stability and Labor Supply: an Intertemporal Analysis
Bram De Rock, Université Libre de Bruxelles
Bridging micro and macro perspectives: opportunities and challenges associated with individual-based models (IBMs) to model and forecast aggregate trends in order-specific and total fertility
Karel Neels, University of Antwerp
Recent Webinars
March 4, 2025
Fertility shifts and reversals. A demographic perspective on changing relationships between income, education, gender inequality and fertility
Tomas Sobotka, Vienna Institute of Demography
February 3, 2025
Life-Cycle Fertility, Human Capital, and Family Policies: A Discrete-Continuous Choice Framework
George-Levi Gayle, Washington University in St. Louis
Conferences
The Factors That Reduce Fertility & The Policies that Enhance it, December 19-20, 2024 Budapest
Press
Webinars
June 7, 2024 - First Webinar
Taxing Reproduction: The Full Transfer Cost of Rearing Children in Europe
Róbert Iván Gál, Corvinus University
Can Family Policy Influence the Transition to Parenthood in Turbulent Times - a Post-Communist Case Study
Zsolt Spéder, Hungarian Demographic Research Institute
July 10, 2024 - Second Webinar
The Economics of Fertility: A New Era
Michèle Tertilt, University of Mannheim
An Evolutionary Perspective on Fertility, Intergenerational Transfers, and Fertility Decline
Ronald Lee, University of California, Berkeley
October 2, 2024 - Third Webinar
The End of Economic Growth? Unintended Consequences of a Declining Population
Population and Welfare: Measuring Growth when Life is Worth Living
Chad Jones, Stanford University
Population Growth and Firm-Product Dynamics
Market Size and Spatial Growth – Evidence from Germany’s Post-War Population Expulsions
Michael Peters, Yale University
November 20, 2024 - Fourth Webinar
Workplace flexibility, mothers' employment and fertility
Anna Matysiak, University of Warsaw
Realization of Short‑Term Fertility Intentions in a Comparative Perspective: Which Macro‑Level Conditions Matter?
Zsolt Spéder, Hungarian Demographic Research Institute
February 3, 2025 - Fifth Webinar
Life-Cycle Fertility, Human Capital, and Family Policies: A Discrete-Continuous Choice Framework
George-Levi Gayle, Washington University in St. Louis
March 4, 2025 - Sixth Webinar
Fertility shifts and reversals. A demographic perspective on changing relationships between income, education, gender inequality and fertility
Tomas Sobotka, Vienna Institute of Demography
Background Reading
Papers circulated for discussion can be accessed by clicking here. The password is FERTILITY2024
Working Group Participants
Alícia Adserà, Princeton University
Dan Black, University of Chicago
Cyrus Chu, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica
Matthias Doepke, London School of Economics and Northwestern University
Sadegh Eshaghnia, University of Chicago, CEHD
Hanming Fang, University of Pennsylvania
Shuaizhang Feng, Jinan University
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, University of Pennsylvania
Róbert Gál, Corvinus, University of Budapest, CIAS
Yana Gallen, University of Chicago
Josh Goldstein, University of California, Berkeley
Nezih Guner, CEMFI
James Heckman, University of Chicago, CEHD
Sarah Hrdy, University of California, Davis
Juanna Joensen, University of Chicago
Chad Jones, Stanford University
Eliana La Ferrara, Harvard Kennedy School
Ronald Lee, University of California, Berkeley
Shelly Lundberg, University of California, Santa Barbara
Michael Peters, Yale University
Robert Pollak, Washington University, St. Louis
Rebecca Sear, Brunel University London
Zsolt Spéder, Hungarian Demographic Research Institute
Zoltán Szántó, Corvinus University of Budapest, CIAS
Michele Tertilt, University of Mannheim
Pieter Vanhuysse, University of Southern Denmark
Junjian Yi, Peking University
Minchul Yum, Virginia Commonwealth University
Junsen Zhang, Chinese University of Hong Kong
Klaus Zimmerman, UNU-MERIT & Maastricht University
Project Partners

The Family, Household, and Economy Research Center (FAMECON) at Corvinus University aims to push the boundaries of the mainstream conceptual framework in the field of welfare system/welfare state research. This approach describes the welfare state as an intergenerational model, through which the active-age support children and the elderly (and not primarily subsidize the poor). As a result, the space typically described with two institutional actors, the markets and their counterpart, the welfare state, is complemented by families, which ensure a significant part of the transfer flow between age groups. The welfare state becomes an element of the multi-channel transfer system consisting of markets, families and the state.