
Exploring Population Change: Individual Resources and Socioeconomic, Cultural, and Biological Conditions
We look forward to our second in-person session of the Family, Fertility, and Human Development Initiative. This builds on our inaugural meeting in Budapest and our monthly Zoom workshops.
Understanding fertility and its decline in most countries is of great policy and scholarly interest. While many explanations have been proposed, they remain fragmented across disciplines and have not been systematically integrated. Our initiative seeks to address this gap. The meeting brings together diverse strands of research to develop a unified and empirically grounded understanding of the forces shaping fertility today. Our focus is on:
- The impacts of natality and childcare policies on fertility and child outcomes. This entails both measurement and models and their synthesis.
- Dynamics of fertility investigating the timing and spacing of births as they change over cohorts, including the growth of childlessness. We have had some seminars on this, but the question remains, how much of the decline in fertility, and the alleged reversal of fertility-income relationships is due to the changes in timing (tempo)?
- How changes in patterns of marriage and cohabitation and extension of longevity and access to new fertility technology have affected total fertility and completed fertility and timing issues.
- Biological factors involving various insults, such as microplastics, exposure to hormones through diets, obesity, and the like. IVF and its role in permitting delay at the cost of reduced fecundity will also be discussed.
- The change in social norms and conventions for men and women.
Program
Venue: David Rubenstein Forum at the University of Chicago
(Address: 1201 E 60th St, Chicago, IL 60637)
Day 1: 16 June 2025
8:00 â 9:00
Breakfast
(Served at conference Location)
9:00 â 9:25
Welcome & Opening: Microfoundations in Fertility Research
ZoltĂĄn O. SzĂĄntĂł, Corvinus University
9:25 â 10:25
Education and Fertility: A Shifting Relationship?
TomĂĄĆĄ Sobotka, Vienna Institute of Demography
10:25 â 10:30
Coffee Break
10:30â11:15
Postponement and cohort completed fertility: assessing the impact of heterogeneity in individual frailty on age-duration-specific birth probabilities and cohort parity progression.
Karel Neels, University of Antwerp
11:15â12:00
Earmarking Parental Leave to Fathers: Effects on Beliefs, Norms, and Childcare
Henrik Kleven, Princeton University
12:00 â 13:00
Lunch
13:00-13:45
Life-Cycle Fertility, Human Capital, and Family Policies
Robert A. Miller, Carnegie Mellon University
13:45-14:30
Childlessness and Intertemporal Fertility Choice
Fabian Siuda, Vienna University
14:30-15:15
U.S. Early Care & Education (ECE) Markets
Aaron Sojourner, W. E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research
15:15-15:20
Coffee Break
15:20-15:40
Child Development and the Timing of Fertility
Sadegh Eshaghnia, The University of Chicago
15:40-16:25
Biological Drivers of Fertility Decline
Aron Moazamian, CellOxess Biotechnology
Robert John Aitken, University of Newcastle
16:25-16:55
Religiously Inspired Baby Boom
Lyman Stone, Institute for Family Studies
16:55-17:00
Day 1 Wrap-Up
Day 2: 17 June 2025
9:00-9:45
Family Planning and Mental Health Among the Elderly
Hanming Fang, University of Pennsylvania
9:45-10:05
Net Human Capital of Nations
Robert Gal, Corvinus University of Budapest, CIAS
10:05-10:20
Coffee Break
10:20-11:05
The Demand for Grandchildren: Children as Family Public Goods and the Implications for Cooperative Bargaining
Robert Pollak, Washington University, St. Louis
11:05-11:35
Spouses with Benefits
Bram De Rock, Université Libre de Bruxelles
11:35-12:35
Lunch
12:35-13:20
Gendered Family Preferences
AlĂcia AdserĂ , Princeton University
13:20-13:50
Family and Gender Role Expectations, 1988â2022
Zsolt Spéder, Hungarian Demographic Research Institute
13:50-14:20
Runaway Parental Investment Drives Fertility Decline
Anna Rotkirch, Population Research Institute, VÀestöliitto
14:20-14:35
Coffee Break
14:35 - 15:20
Intergenerational Impact of Birth-Control Policies
Junjian Yi, Peking University
15:20-16:05
The Autumn of Patriarchy
Anson Zhou, HKU Business School
16:05-16:50
Parental Leave, Fertility, and Labor Supply
Minchul Yum, Virginia Commonwealth University
16:50-17:30
Wrap-Up and Next Steps
James J. Heckman, The University of Chicago